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Despite the strong rebound of
the US market on last Friday, the KLCI failed to rebound on Monday, but closing
even lower. As indicated by A, the KLCI has been trending down in its short-term
weakness movement for the 15th day now.
As indicated by B, total
market volume remains below the 40-day Volume Moving Average, and this suggests
that market participation is a little low, as investors are being very cautious
amid the weakening market sentiment. Meanwhile, losers still outnumbering
gainers on Monday with 447 losers versus 225 gainers. This shows that the
selling pressure is still on the higher side.
As indicated by C, the
Stochastic stays below 10%, which suggests that the short-term movement of the
KLCI is indeed weak, but however, in over-sold condition.
In conclusion, despite the
short-term over-sold condition, the KLCI has not even rebounded a little, and
therefore, the immediate technical outlook for the KLCI is still on the negative
side. Meanwhile, the KLCI is testing the 200-day Moving Average line, and if the
KLCI should breach below this level, it would dampen the mid-to-longer term
outlook for the KLCI.
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