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On Monday, the KLCI opened
lower, and had its early rebound. However, due to the strong selling pressure on
blue chips, and as indicated by A, the KLCI could only fluctuate near the 1625
level, and at the end, closed at 1623.31 points, losing 5.97 point. The 14, 21,
31 EMA as shown on the chart above is serving as the dynamic resistance while
the next resistance is at 1680. Support for the KLCI is at 1600, the important
psychological level.
As indicated by B, total
market volume remains below the 40-day Volume Moving Average. This suggests that
investors confidence is still weak as the market mood is generally cautious.
Meanwhile, losers still outnumbered gainers on Monday, with 378 losers vs 280
gainers. This shows that selling pressure is, overall, still high.
As indicated by C, the
Stochastic stays below 10%, which suggests that the short-term movement of the
KLCI is indeed very weak. At the same time, this is also a signal suggesting a
short-term over-sold condition. Nevertheless, if the Stochastic should rebound
and breaks above 30%, it would be a signal suggesting a beginning of a technical
rebound.
In conclusion, the KLCI is
now falling for the 10th days, and despite most Asian market
rebounded on Monday, the KLCI is still stuck in its short-term negative
movement. But, technically, the KLCI is only in its correction stage, and we
have not seen any formation of a bearish market.
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