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As indicated by A, the FBM
KLCI did not rebound, and ended 5.91 points lower to close at 1631.58 points.
Since the KLCI is still below the 14, 21, 31 EMA, the immediate technical
outlook for the KLCI is now negative. Next support for the KLCI is at 1625.
As indicated by B, total
market volume increased 13.88%, but still below the 40-day Volume Moving
Average. This suggests that the market participation is still relatively quiet.
This is partly due to the weakening foreign markets performance, as well as the
shortening of trading days due to festive holiday, and investors are likely be
extra cautious.
As indicated by C, the
Stochastic stays below 30%, and now falling below 10%. This shows that the
short-term movement of the KLCI is still weak, and also signaling a short-term
over-sold condition.
In conclusion, the KLCI has
fallen many days without really rebounding. Based on the behavior of the KLCI
over many years, this is not anything new, but still consider quite rare. The
last time where the KLCI had fallen many days without any obvious rebound was
between September 9, 2011 to September 26, 2011. During that time, the KLCI only
had 1 day of rebound out of 11 trading days. And for present, the KLCI has
fallen 8 days with only 1 day of insignificant rebound on the November 9th,
where by the KLCI rebounded only 0.01 of a point. Therefore, the KLCI is at an
over-sold condition. Technically, the KLCI is still at its technical correction
stage, and until, we still haven't seen a confirmation of any downtrend
formation.
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