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On Friday, the KLCI opened
lower, and despite it went back to the positive territory during intra-day
trading, it still ended lower, at 1653.36 points, losing 2.11 points. As
indicated by A, the KLCI is now testing the 14, 21, 31 EMA dynamic support,
while the resistance is at 1688.
As the KLCI is consolidating,
total market volume is also falling. As indicated by B, total market volume fell
2.4% on Friday, with volume below the 40-day Volume Moving Average. This
suggests that the market participation is relatively lower, as investors are
being very cautious, while reluctant to take up new positions.
As indicated by C, the
Stochastic fell below 70%, which ended the short-term bullish signal of the
KLCI. This is also a signal suggesting a beginning of a technical correction. If
the Stochastic should continue falling, and breaks below 30%, it would be
entering its short-term bearish territory.
In conclusion, although the
KLCI has fallen a few days in a row, this is merely a consolidation or a mild
technical correction. Technically, we don't see any bearish reversal yet. In
fact, if the KLCI should rebound from the 14, 21, 31 EMA, and form higher-lows,
it would have a chance to resume its uptrend movement. Of course, this would
have to be confirmed with the significant increase of volume.
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