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In line with the rebound across the Asia, the KLCI
gained 9.07 points or 0.58% to close at 1569.43 points. As indicated by A, the
KLCI rebounded and formed a higher-low, which is illustrated by the L2 Ascending
line. Together with the L1 downtrend line, the KLCI has formed a Symmetrical
Triangle Consolidation pattern.
As indicated by B, total market volume remains
below the 40-day Volume Moving Average, gaining only 9.72%, despite the KLCI has
rebounded over 10 points in its intraday movement. Basically, the market is
still quiet.
As circled at C, the MACD histogram is still
falling, while the Rounding Top is still in place. This suggests that the KLCI
short-term is losing strength, or in consolidation stage.
In conclusion, the KLCI is consolidating in a
Symmetrical Triangle pattern. The Symmetrical Triangle is a neutral
consolidation pattern, with equal strength of bull and bear. If the KLCI should
break above the L1 line, it means the KLCI would break away form its downtrend,
and it could continue its upward movement. However, the bullish breakout signal
needs to be confirmed with strong volume, or the KLCI would just extend its
sideways consolidation after breaking above the L1 line. On the other hand, if
the KLCI should remain resisted by the L1 downtrend line, and breaks below the
L2 line, it means that the downtrend is still intact.
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