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On Monday, the KLCI opened lower but soon picking
up its strength as lifted by blue chips. The KLCI closed at 1554.94 points,
gaining 3.82 points or 0.25%. As indicated by A, the KLCI is now testing the 14,
21, 31 EMA dynamic resistance. Next resistance for the KLCI is at 1566-1570
while the supports are at 1535 followed by 1500.
As indicated by B, total market volume remains
below the 40-day Volume Moving Average, and this does not go in line with the
short-term improvement of the KLCI. In short, the market is less likely to
regain its strength or sustain its improvement without sufficient inflow of
fresh capital.
As circled at C, the MACD histogram is still
rising, thus the Rounding Bottom signal remains intact. This suggests that the
KLCI is picking up some strength in the short-term.
In conclusion, despite the short-term improvement,
the KLCI is only having its technical rebound in its downtrend, while the
technical outlook remains at negative. In order for the KLCI to break away from
this downtrend, it would have to form higher-lows and break above its recent
resistance, which is the 1566-1570. On the other hand, if the KLCI should form
lower-highs, and then breaking below 1535 support, it would be extending its
downtrend.
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