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The KLCI was trading at a narrow range on
Thursday, gaining 1.69 points or 0.11% to close at 1585.44 points. As indicated
by A, the KLCI is still above the 14, 21, 31 EMA dynamic support, thus the
uptrend remains intact. Resistance for the KLCI stays at 1597.08 or 1600.
As indicated by B, total market volume fell 4.26%,
with volume below the 40-day Volume Moving Average. Other than suggesting the
market participation is low, the lower volume also implies that investor's
confidence is still low, thus the inflow of fresh capital is low.
As indicated by C, the Stochastic rebound and
breaks above 70% level by margin. If the Stochastic should stay above 70%, it
would be a signal suggesting that the short-term movement of the KLCI is still
positive. However, the Stochastic is secondary indicator, and could be
over-sensitive sometimes. Therefore, the priority of the analysis should be
based on the price trend, or primary indicators.
In conclusion, there is no improvement in market
participation yet, thus the KLCI has not fully regained its positive momentum.
Meanwhile, profit taking activities is still strong, as there are 462 losers
over 260 gainers. Although the KLCI uptrend remains intact, this uptrend would
be gradually weakening if there is no improvement in the market sentiment.
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