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Despite rebounding more than 4 points in the
morning, the KLCI ended in red, losing 0.73 points to close at 1564.02 points.
As indicated by A, the KLCI is still testing the 14, 21, 31 EMA dynamic support
,but breaking below the L1 uptrend by margin. Resistance for the KLCI remains at
1597.08 or 1600.
As indicated by B, total market volume fell
another 8.29%, with volume below the 40-day Volume Moving Average. This suggests
that the market is indeed quiet, as investors are not feeling confident about
the market condition.
As indicated by c, the Stochastic fell below 30%,
entering the short-term bearish territory. Technically, if the Stochastic should
stay below 30%, the short-term movement of the KLCI is expected to be weak.
In conclusion, if the KLCI should really break
below the L1 uptrend line, it will mark an end to the uptrend which started in
October last year. However, this does not mean that the KLCI would immediately
reverse into a downtrend. Technically, the ideal scenario for the KLCI is to
form a consolidation Triangle pattern.
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