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PDF Send to a Friend Composite Index 17/05/2010
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FBM KLCI Daily Technical Analysis 17/05/2010, by Straits Index (M) Sdn Bhd

The KLCI breaks below the T2 line during intra-day trading, as lead by the negative performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index last Friday. As indicated by A, the KLCI retested the L2 line at the closing of the market, and therefore, the break out is yet to be confirmed.

Meanwhile, the Bollinger Bands continue to contract, contracted 2%, suggesting that the KLCI is actually still consolidating while the market direction is still unclear. But with the KLCI now below the Bollinger Middle Band, the immediate technical outlook is on the negative side.

As indicated by B, total market volume declined 7.2% with market volume below the 40-day VMA level. This again suggests that the market is quiet as investors confidence is still relatively low, and therefore, the KLCI is less likely to gain strength.

As circled at C, the Stochastic breaks below 70%, suggesting that the short term bullish signal has ended, and a beginning of a technical correction. If the Stochastic should stay below 70%, the short term movement of the KLCI is expected to be weakening. But with the Bollinger Bands narrowing, the KLCI is expected to fluctuate in narrow range.

In conclusion, the KLCI is affected by the external market performance, and technically, the consolidation remains intact, until the re-expansion of the Bollinger Bands, then only a new movement shall begin.

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