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PDF Send to a Friend Composite Index 20/08/2009
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FBM Composite Index Daily Technical Analysis, 20/08/2009, by Straits Index (M) Sdn Bhd

As indicated by A, the KLCI rebounded 7.90 pt today, to close at 1163.43 pt, returning to above the 1163 pt WinChart Automatic Fibonacci Retracement (WAFR), this means 1163 pt is back to become support level of the KLCI, while the immediate resistance is 1183 pt WAFR.

As shown in the chart, the Bollinger Bands expanded only 9% from the previous 41%, this means that the correction of the KLCI had slowed down, and should the Bollinger Bands begins to narrow, the downtrend of the KLCI would end, and the KLCI could consolidate. Normally the KLCI has to break above the Bollinger Middle Band, then only the KLCI will have a chance to pick up some strength.

As pointed by B, volume traded decreased 21.8% as investors are being cautious about the outlook of the KLCI, the reduced volume is a classic scenario during the KLCI correction state. Actually, if volume traded was too high during a correction state, it means that the selling pressure is too high, and it is usually harder for the KLCI to turn stronger in the short term.

As circled at C, the Stochastic rebounded as the short term movement of the KLCI was over-sold; however, the Stochastic still need to break above 30%, in order to confirm that the KLCI has recovered from the recent down trend; and if the Stochastic should break above 70%, the KLCI would be entering a short term up trend.

The KLCI had a technical rebound as the rate of the Bollinger Bands expansion has reduced; however, it is still inadequate to confirm the KLCI is breaking away from the downtrend, unless the KLCI is successfully returning to above the Bollinger Middle Band. On the other hand, if the Stochastic should break above 30%, this should mark the end of short term down trend, and therefore, the Stochastic is another suitable indicator to monitor.

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