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Composite Index Daily Technical Analysis, 16/02/2009, by Straits Index (M) Sdn Bhd

As indicated by A, the KLCI remains supported by the 905 WinChart Automatic Fibonacci Retracement despite a slight pullback on Monday. Therefore, the immediate support for the KLCI is still at 905 while the next support is at 885-887 WinChart Automatic Fibonacci Retracement. Resistance for the KLCI is at 937 WinChart Automatic Fibonacci Retracement.

As shown on the chart above, the Bollinger Bands Width is expanding at a slower rate, implying that the KLCI might be consolidating soon. Nevertheless, with the KLCI above the Bollinger Middle Band, the immediate outlook for the KLCI is still on the positive side.

As indicated by B, total market volume declined 25.4%, as investors are still being cautious. Nevertheless, volume on Monday is still above the 40-day VMA level, suggesting that the overall market is still relatively actively participated.

As circled at C, the Stochastic retreated after hitting 100%, suggested that the KLCI is having a healthy pull back as the KLCI was over-heated. Nevertheless, with the Stochastic still above the 70% level, the market movement for the short term is still bullish biased.

The slight pull back on Monday is considered normal. As long as the volume should remain above 40-day VMA level, the rally of the KLCI is likely to continue. However, if volume should failed to sustain at above the 40-day VMA level, it would be a sign of lack of confident in the market and the KLCI would have difficulties in sustaining its current movement.

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