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Composite Index Daily Technical Analysis, 08/07/2008, by Straits Index (M) Sdn Bhd

On Tuesday, the KLCI ended 6.01 points as the regional markets ended lower. As indicated by A, the KLCI is temporary supported by the 1120 WinChart Automatic Fibonacci Retracement line. If the KLCI should break below this level, the next support for the KLCI will be at 1100 level. Nevertheless, the resistance for the KLCI is seen at 1164 points.

As shown on the chart above, as the KLCI breaks below the T1 and T2 downtrend channel, it also break below the Bollinger lower band, which suggests that the KLCI was over-sold. Therefore, there is a chance for the KLCI to rebound or to consolidate sideways. Therefore, it is a good time to monitor the Bollinger Bands Width. If the Bollinger Bands Width should begin to contact, it would suggests a consolidation for the KLCI. However, if the Bollinger Bands Width should expands again with the KLCI staying below the Bollinger Middle Band, there would be more downside risk for the KLCI.

As indicated by B, total market volume increased 9% on Tuesday, and it is now closer to the 40-day VMA level again. This is a sign of improvement of the market participation. But still, if the KLCI should attempt to rebound or regain its strength, more volume above the 40-day VMA level is needed, or the rebound would be rather weak.

As circled at C, the Stochastic continues staying below the 30% level, which is the short term bearish region. If the Stochastic should break above the 30% level, it would be a signal suggesting a beginning of a technical rebound.

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