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Composite Index Daily Technical Analysis, 02/10/2007, by Straits Index (M) Sdn Bhd

On Tuesday, the KLCI opened gap up closing 21.67 points higher to 1368.72 points. As circled at A, the KLCI is now situated above the 20-day Bollinger Upper Band which suggests that the movement was indeed bullish. However, when the KLCI is totally above the 20-day Bollinger Upper Band, this also implies an over-heating warning, thus the KLCI is likely to have a pull-back as a form of technical correction. However, if the KLCI should remains supported by the rising 14, 21, 31 EMA, the outlook shall remains bullish biased. 

Total market volume increased 43.8% on Tuesday, with the volume significantly above the 40-day VMA level. This suggests an increase of market participation or the inflow of fresh capital. Therefore, if the volume should remain above the 40-day VMA level, the market sentiment is likely to be bullish. 

As circled at C, the Stochastic is still above the 90% level, which is an over-bought region. This suggests that the KLCI is now over-heated, and there is a risk of a technical correction. However, if after the technical correction and the Stochastic remains above the 70% level, the market movement for the short term would still be bullish biased. 

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